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equity ETF | passive | Hang Seng Investment Management Limited | Tracks Hang Seng Indexes Company Limited
📊 The Bottom Line
This ETF tracks the Hang Seng Index, providing exposure to the largest and most liquid companies listed in Hong Kong. With a remarkably low expense ratio of 0.07%, it offers a cost-efficient way to access the Hong Kong equity market. Bull case projects NAV reaching approximately HK$32.05 (+20%) while bear case suggests HK$21.37 (-20%) over 12-18 months.
⚖️ Risk vs Reward
The underlying Hang Seng Index currently trades at a P/E ratio of 14.3x, which is above its 3-year average of 12.2x, suggesting a fair but not cheap valuation compared to recent history. Hong Kong equities have seen strong returns in 2025, but face ongoing macroeconomic uncertainties in mainland China and global interest rate policy shifts. The ETF offers significant upside if the Hong Kong market continues its recovery and corporate earnings accelerate. However, downside risks stem from potential economic slowdowns and geopolitical tensions. Its tight tracking and high liquidity mitigate ETF-specific risks, making it a robust vehicle for targeted exposure to Hong Kong large-cap equities.
🚀 Why 2800.HK Could Soar
⚠️ What Could Go Wrong
🎯 Why This Matters
Investing in the Tracker Fund of Hong Kong offers direct exposure to the performance of Hong Kong's blue-chip companies. Understanding the current valuation and the strong influence of China's economic performance is key for investors seeking diversified exposure to the Asian market, particularly given the recent rebound in the region.
Stronger-than-expected GDP growth in mainland China could significantly boost earnings for Hang Seng Index constituents with deep ties to the mainland, potentially driving a 15-20% appreciation in the ETF's NAV over 12 months.
Targeted fiscal and monetary policy easing by Chinese authorities could inject liquidity and confidence into the market, leading to a re-rating of Hong Kong equities and an estimated 10-15% NAV uplift.
A global shift towards undervalued Asian assets, coupled with improved investor sentiment, could lead to substantial foreign capital inflows into Hong Kong, supporting higher valuations and a 5-10% boost to NAV.
A prolonged downturn in China's property market could trigger broader financial instability and impact banks and developers in the HSI, leading to a potential 15-20% decline in the ETF's NAV.
Increased trade tensions or geopolitical conflicts between major global powers could severely dampen investor confidence, leading to capital outflows and a 10-15% drop in Hong Kong stock valuations and the ETF's NAV.
New or stricter regulatory measures, particularly in technology or financial sectors, could negatively impact the growth prospects and profitability of key HSI companies, potentially reducing NAV by 5-10%.
| Fund | Expense Ratio | AUM (B) | 1Y Return | 3Y Return | 5Y Return | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tracker Fund Of Hong Kong (2800.HK) ⭐ | 0.07% | HK$136.2B | 27.64% | 8.90% | -1.31% | 0.03% |
| iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH) | 0.50% | HK$0.7B | 34.89% | 5.09% | 0.89% | 0.03% |
🎯 Why This Matters
The valuation and performance analysis reveal that the Tracker Fund of Hong Kong offers a compelling, cost-effective avenue to invest in the Hong Kong equity market. Investors should consider its strong liquidity and benchmark alignment, while carefully assessing the macroeconomic factors influencing its underlying holdings.
| # | Ticker | Logo | Name | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09988 | A | Alibaba Group Holding Ltd | Consumer Cyclical | 0.1% |
| 2 | 00005 | H | HSBC Holdings PLC | Financial Services | 0.1% |
| 3 | 00700 | T | Tencent Holdings Ltd | Communication Services | 0.1% |
| 4 | 00939 | C | China Construction Bank Corp | Financial Services | 0.1% |
| 5 | 01299 | A | AIA Group Ltd | Financial Services | 0.0% |
| 6 | 01810 | X | Xiaomi Corp | Technology | 0.0% |
| 7 | 03690 | M | Meituan | Consumer Cyclical | 0.0% |
| 8 | 00941 | C | China Mobile Ltd | Communication Services | 0.0% |
| 9 | 00388 | H | Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Ltd | Financial Services | 0.0% |
| 10 | 01398 | I | Industrial And Commercial Bank Of China Ltd | Financial Services | 0.0% |
| Category | Weight | Description |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 32.5% | Exposure to Hong Kong's robust banking, insurance, and investment sectors. |
| Consumer Cyclical | 23.1% | Includes companies sensitive to economic cycles, such as e-commerce and retail. |
| Communication Services | 16.3% | Covers telecommunication providers and media/entertainment companies. |
| Technology | 7.9% | Features technology hardware and software companies. |
| Energy | 4.3% | Comprises oil, gas, and other energy-related companies. |
| Real Estate | 3.6% | Exposure to property developers and real estate investment trusts. |
| Industrials | 3.1% | Includes companies involved in aerospace, defense, machinery, and construction. |
| Healthcare | 3.0% | Covers pharmaceutical, biotechnology, and healthcare equipment firms. |
| Utilities | 2.5% | Companies providing essential services like electricity and gas. |
| Consumer Defensive | 2.1% | Less sensitive to economic cycles, such as food and beverage companies. |
| Basic Materials | 1.7% | Companies involved in mining, chemicals, and construction materials. |
| Year | ETF Return | Benchmark Return | Tracking Diff | Volatility | Max Drawdown | Sharpe Ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22.00% | 22.90% | -0.90% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2023 | -10.40% | -10.50% | 0.10% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2022 | -11.90% | -12.50% | 0.60% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2021 | -11.90% | -11.80% | -0.10% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2020 | -0.50% | -11.80% | 11.30% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2019 | 12.70% | -0.30% | 13.00% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2018 | -10.40% | 13.00% | -23.40% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2017 | 40.50% | -10.50% | 51.00% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2016 | 3.70% | 0.30% | 3.40% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2015 | -4.10% | -7.40% | 3.30% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Ticker | Name | Issuer | Exp Ratio | AUM (B) | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | Yield | StdDev 3Y | Sharpe 3Y | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2800.HK ⭐ | Tracker Fund Of Hong Kong | Hang Seng Investment Management Limited | 0.07% | HK$136.2B | 27.6% | 8.9% | -1.3% | 0.03% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| EWH | iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF | BlackRock | 0.50% | HK$0.7B | 34.9% | 5.1% | 0.9% | 0.03% | 0.19% | N/A | 0.050% |
| Category Average | 0.65% | — | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.03% | — | N/A | — | ||
| 1 Year | 3 Years | 5 Years | 10 Years |
|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y |
|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3 Years | 5 Years |
|---|---|
| N/A | N/A |
| 1 Year | 3 Years | 5 Years | Since Inception |
|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Median (Percent) | 0.050% |
| Median (Dollar) | HK$0.01 |
| During Hours | N/A |
| At Close | N/A |
| Volatility | low |
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Current | 14.74% |
| 30-Day Average | N/A |
| 1-Year Average | N/A |
| Standard Deviation | N/A |
| Max Premium (1Y) | N/A |
| Max Discount (1Y) | N/A |
| Period | Net Flow |
|---|---|
| 1 Year | HK$-37870.0M |
⚠️ Disclaimer: This ETF research report is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell securities. EC² Invest is not a registered investment advisor. All data is sourced from public sources and may contain errors. Past performance does not guarantee future results. ETF investing involves risk, including possible loss of principal. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial professional before making investment decisions.