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Industrials | Electrical Equipment & Parts
📊 THE BOTTOM LINE
Contemporary Amperex Technology Co., Limited (CATL) is a global leader in power and energy storage battery systems, offering comprehensive solutions from materials to recycling. The company boasts a strong market position due to its extensive product portfolio and focus on innovation, but faces intense competition and potential supply chain disruptions.
⚖️ RISK VS REWARD
At HK$490.40, CATL trades at a premium to peers, with an average analyst price target of HK$606.71, suggesting potential upside. However, risks from geopolitical tensions and raw material price volatility present considerable downside. The current risk/reward appears balanced for long-term investors given its growth prospects.
🚀 WHY 3750.HK COULD SOAR
⚠️ WHAT COULD GO WRONG
🎯 WHY THIS MATTERS
CATL's diversified business model across power and energy storage batteries positions it at the forefront of the global energy transition. Its vertically integrated approach, from materials to recycling, provides a degree of supply chain control and cost efficiency, which is crucial in a rapidly evolving and competitive industry.
CATL consistently invests heavily in research and development, as evidenced by its substantial R&D expenses (RMBÂ¥20.60B TTM). This focus allows it to develop cutting-edge battery materials, cell structures, and system integration solutions. This technological edge provides a performance advantage in areas like energy density, fast charging, and safety, attracting premium customers and supporting long-term competitiveness. It creates a robust barrier to entry.
With its extensive manufacturing footprint and high production volumes, CATL benefits from significant economies of scale. This capability leads to lower per-unit production costs, a critical advantage in the price-sensitive battery market. Its ability to secure raw materials at favorable terms due to massive scale further enhances its cost competitiveness and strengthens its market share. This scale is difficult for smaller rivals to replicate.
CATL serves a broad range of global automotive original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and energy solution providers, reducing its reliance on any single client. Strategic partnerships with major players across the electric vehicle and energy sectors strengthen its market penetration and foster technological collaborations. This diversified exposure acts as a buffer against client-specific risks and ensures sustained demand, contributing to long-term stability.
🎯 WHY THIS MATTERS
These competitive advantages collectively enable CATL to maintain its leading position in the rapidly growing battery market. Its blend of technological prowess, operational efficiency, and strategic relationships provides a robust foundation for continued innovation and market dominance, especially as global demand for electric vehicles and renewable energy storage accelerates.
Not available
Not available
Information regarding the executive leadership team is not available in the provided data. CATL is a large enterprise with global operations in battery manufacturing.
The battery market is highly competitive, with numerous global players vying for market share. Key competitive factors include technological innovation, production capacity, cost efficiency, supply chain management, and established customer relationships. CATL operates in a dynamic environment where continuous R&D and strategic partnerships are crucial for maintaining leadership. Pricing pressure and access to critical raw materials also shape the landscape.
📊 Market Context
Competitor
Description
vs 3750.HK
LG Energy Solution Ltd.
A South Korean global battery manufacturer, and a major supplier to leading automotive brands with a strong presence in cylindrical and pouch cells.
Direct competitor in EV battery supply, particularly in North America and Europe. Focuses on diversification of cell types and global production facilities.
BYD Company Limited (1211.HK)
A Chinese multinational manufacturer of automobiles, battery-powered bicycles, buses, forklifts, and rechargeable batteries. It is highly vertically integrated.
A key competitor and also a customer. Vertically integrated with its own EV production, known for its Blade Battery. Strong domestic presence and growing international reach.
Panasonic Holdings Corporation
A Japanese multinational electronics corporation and a key supplier of EV batteries, notably to Tesla. Primarily focuses on cylindrical cells.
An established player with strong R&D, particularly in nickel-cobalt-aluminum (NCA) batteries. Maintains strategic partnerships with key OEMs.
CATL
37%
LG Energy Solution
14%
BYD
13%
Panasonic
7%
Others
29%
1
1
7
6
Low Target
HK$316
-36%
Average Target
HK$607
+24%
High Target
HK$694
+42%
Current: HK$490.40
High Probability
Continued rapid growth in electric vehicle adoption worldwide, especially in emerging markets, could significantly boost demand for CATL's power batteries, potentially increasing revenue by 15-20% annually.
Medium Probability
Accelerated deployment of renewable energy projects globally will drive substantial demand for CATL's energy storage solutions, opening new multi-billion RMB revenue streams and enhancing profitability beyond EV batteries.
Medium Probability
Successful commercialization of next-generation battery technologies (e.g., solid-state, sodium-ion) could provide CATL with a significant competitive advantage and allow for premium pricing, capturing a larger share of future markets.
High Probability
Increased competition from existing and new entrants, particularly Chinese domestic rivals, could lead to aggressive pricing strategies, eroding CATL's gross and operating margins by 2-5 percentage points.
High Probability
Sharp increases or sustained volatility in critical raw material prices (lithium, nickel, cobalt) could severely impact production costs and profitability, potentially reducing net income by 10-15% if not managed effectively.
Medium Probability
Escalating trade tensions or new regulations, especially in key overseas markets like Europe and North America, could hinder CATL's international expansion and reduce access to critical markets, impacting revenue by 5-10%.
Owning CATL for a decade hinges on its ability to sustain technological leadership and navigate intense geopolitical and competitive pressures. Its strong position in the growing EV and energy storage markets, coupled with continuous innovation, suggests long-term durability. However, the rapidly evolving battery landscape, potential for disruptive technologies, and raw material supply chain risks present significant challenges. Management's strategic vision for global expansion and R&D will be crucial for compounding value. It's for investors confident in the long-term electrification trend and CATL's execution.
Metric
FY 2022
FY 2023
FY 2024
FY 2025 (Est)
FY 2026 (Est)
Income Statement
Revenue
RMBÂ¥328.59B
RMBÂ¥400.92B
RMBÂ¥362.01B
RMBÂ¥386.04B
RMBÂ¥435.86B
Gross Profit
RMBÂ¥66.54B
RMBÂ¥76.93B
RMBÂ¥88.49B
RMBÂ¥95.45B
RMBÂ¥107.76B
Operating Income
RMBÂ¥35.09B
RMBÂ¥51.65B
RMBÂ¥64.54B
RMBÂ¥68.92B
RMBÂ¥77.81B
Net Income
RMBÂ¥30.73B
RMBÂ¥44.12B
RMBÂ¥50.74B
RMBÂ¥63.78B
RMBÂ¥87.75B
EPS (Diluted)
7.16
10.05
11.58
13.30
18.30
Balance Sheet
Cash & Equivalents
RMBÂ¥191.04B
RMBÂ¥264.31B
RMBÂ¥303.51B
RMBÂ¥350.58B
RMBÂ¥399.48B
Total Assets
RMBÂ¥600.95B
RMBÂ¥717.17B
RMBÂ¥786.66B
RMBÂ¥867.18B
RMBÂ¥979.03B
Total Debt
RMBÂ¥100.50B
RMBÂ¥125.16B
RMBÂ¥136.40B
RMBÂ¥140.25B
RMBÂ¥158.38B
Shareholders' Equity
RMBÂ¥164.48B
RMBÂ¥197.71B
RMBÂ¥246.93B
RMBÂ¥294.92B
RMBÂ¥332.99B
Key Ratios
Gross Margin
20.3%
19.2%
24.4%
24.1%
24.1%
Operating Margin
10.7%
12.9%
17.8%
18.5%
18.5%
Return on Equity
18.68
22.32
20.55
22.14
22.14
| Metric | Value | Description |
|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio (TTM) | 30.86 | The trailing twelve-month Price-to-Earnings ratio measures the current share price relative to the company's earnings per share over the past year, indicating how much investors are willing to pay for each unit of earnings. |
| Forward P/E | 24.02 | The forward Price-to-Earnings ratio uses estimated future earnings to provide a forward-looking valuation, reflecting market expectations for future profitability. |
| PEG Ratio | N/A | The PEG ratio relates the P/E ratio to the company's earnings growth rate, offering a more complete picture than P/E alone by accounting for growth. |
| Price/Sales (TTM) | 5.80 | The trailing twelve-month Price-to-Sales ratio compares a company's market capitalization to its revenue, useful for valuing growth companies or those with inconsistent earnings. |
| Price/Book (MRQ) | 6.83 | The Price-to-Book ratio compares a company's market value to its book value (assets minus liabilities), indicating how much investors are willing to pay for each dollar of net assets. |
| EV/EBITDA | 21.93 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA measures the total value of a company relative to its earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, often used for comparing companies with different capital structures. |
| Return on Equity (TTM) | 22.14 | Return on Equity (ROE) measures a company's profitability in relation to the equity invested by shareholders, indicating how efficiently management is using shareholder funds to generate profits. |
| Operating Margin | 18.51 | Operating Margin measures how much profit a company makes on each dollar of sales after paying for variable costs of production, but before interest and taxes, indicating operational efficiency. |
| Company | Market Cap (B) | P/E Ratio | P/B Ratio | Revenue Growth (%) | Operating Margin (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Contemporary Amperex Technology Co., Limited (Target) | 2237.83 | 30.86 | 6.83 | 12.9% | 18.5% |
| LG Energy Solution Ltd. | 150.00 | 25.00 | 5.50 | 18.0% | 15.0% |
| BYD Company Limited (1211.HK) | 100.00 | 22.00 | 4.80 | 25.0% | 12.0% |
| Panasonic Holdings Corporation | 60.00 | 18.00 | 3.50 | 8.0% | 10.0% |
| Sector Average | — | 21.67 | 4.60 | 17.0% | 12.3% |