⚠️ EC² Invest can make mistakes. Please double check information in this report.
equity ETF | passive | iShares | Tracks MSCI
📊 The Bottom Line
This ETF tracks the MSCI Emerging Markets Index, providing broad exposure to large and mid-capitalization companies across emerging market countries. It offers a diversified approach to capture long-term growth from developing economies. The fund's passive strategy and established history make it a standard choice for this segment. Bull case projects a market price of US$70.99 (+20%) while the bear case suggests US$47.34 (-20%) over the next 12-18 months.
⚖️ Risk vs Reward
The underlying emerging market equities trade at a P/E of 17.37x, which is relatively attractive compared to developed markets but reflects inherent risks. Emerging markets have shown strong performance recently with EEM up 4% YTD in 2026, benefiting from global recovery and technology growth. However, geopolitical tensions, currency fluctuations, and slower growth in major emerging economies like China present headwinds. The ETF's current premium to NAV is minor, but its expense ratio is higher than some newer, lower-cost competitors, introducing a cost drag over time. The upside potential is tied to sustained global growth and stability in developing nations, balanced against significant macroeconomic and political uncertainties.
🚀 Why EEM Could Soar
⚠️ What Could Go Wrong
🎯 Why This Matters
Understanding the emerging markets landscape is crucial for investors seeking growth and diversification, as these economies represent a significant and expanding portion of the global GDP. However, the inherent volatility and geopolitical sensitivities demand a nuanced approach to risk management.
A stronger-than-expected rebound in global economic activity could drive higher demand for exports from emerging market nations, potentially boosting corporate revenues by 10-15% and lifting the ETF's NAV by approximately 15-20% over 12-18 months.
Successful containment of global inflation could lead to earlier and more significant interest rate cuts by central banks, stimulating capital flows into higher-growth emerging markets and potentially expanding valuations by 10-15%, adding 10-15% to NAV.
Increased demand from industrializing emerging economies could bolster commodity prices, benefiting resource-rich countries and companies within the index, potentially contributing an additional 5-8% to the ETF's NAV.
Increased geopolitical tensions, particularly in Asia or Eastern Europe, could trigger significant capital outflows, currency devaluations, and market uncertainty, leading to a potential 20-25% decline in the ETF's NAV.
A prolonged economic slowdown in China, coupled with structural issues, could significantly dampen overall emerging market growth prospects, given its substantial weighting, potentially reducing the ETF's NAV by 10-15%.
A sustained strengthening of the U.S. dollar could increase the debt burden for emerging market countries and companies, while also attracting capital away from these markets, resulting in a potential 10-12% drag on returns.
| Fund | Expense Ratio | AUM (B) | 1Y Return | 3Y Return | 5Y Return | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets ETF (VWO) | 0.07% | US$105.4B | 25.58% | 9.35% | 4.74% | 0.02% |
| iShares Core MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (IEMG) | 0.09% | US$135.4B | 32.10% | 4.60% | 4.60% | 0.03% |
| Schwab Emerging Markets Equity ETF (SCHE) | 0.07% | US$12.0B | 28.40% | N/A | N/A | 0.03% |
🎯 Why This Matters
The valuation and peer comparison highlight that while EEM offers an established route to emerging markets, its higher expense ratio compared to several direct competitors is a significant consideration for long-term investors. The choice between EEM and its peers largely depends on an investor's preference for historical liquidity versus cost efficiency and index methodology nuances.
| # | Ticker | Logo | Name | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2330 | T | Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd | Technology | 0.1% |
| 2 | 005930 | S | Samsung Electronics Co Ltd | Technology | 0.0% |
| 3 | 0700 | T | Tencent Holdings Ltd | Communication Services | 0.0% |
| 4 | 9988 | A | Alibaba Group Holding Ltd | Consumer Cyclical | 0.0% |
| 5 | 000660 | S | SK Hynix Inc | Technology | 0.0% |
| 6 | HDFCBANK | H | HDFC Bank Ltd | Financials | 0.0% |
| 7 | 939 | C | China Construction Bank Corp H | Financials | 0.0% |
| 8 | RELIANCE | R | Reliance Industries Ltd | Energy | 0.0% |
| 9 | 2317 | H | Hon Hai Precision Industry Ltd | Technology | 0.0% |
| 10 | 1810 | X | Xiaomi Corp | Technology | 0.0% |
| Category | Weight | Description |
|---|---|---|
| Information Technology | 29.8% | |
| Financials | 21.3% | |
| Consumer Discretionary | 11.5% | |
| Communication Services | 8.9% | |
| Materials | 7.5% | |
| Industrials | 7.0% | |
| Energy | 3.7% | |
| Consumer Staples | 3.5% | |
| Health Care | 3.0% | |
| Utilities | 2.2% | |
| Real Estate | 1.3% | |
| Cash and/or Derivatives | 0.3% |
| Metric | 1 Year | 3 Year | 5 Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tracking Error | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Tracking Difference | -23.00% | -46.00% | -70.00% |
| Year | ETF Return | Benchmark Return | Tracking Diff | Volatility | Max Drawdown | Sharpe Ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 33.34% | 33.57% | -0.23% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2024 | 6.94% | 7.50% | -0.56% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2023 | 8.90% | 9.83% | -0.93% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2022 | -20.55% | -20.09% | -0.46% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2021 | -3.72% | -2.54% | -1.18% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2020 | 17.56% | 18.31% | -0.75% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2019 | 18.20% | 18.42% | -0.22% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2018 | -15.31% | -14.57% | -0.74% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Ticker | Name | Issuer | Exp Ratio | AUM (B) | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | Yield | StdDev 3Y | Sharpe 3Y | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VWO | Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets ETF | Vanguard | 0.07% | US$105.4B | 25.6% | 9.3% | 4.7% | 0.02% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| IEMG | iShares Core MSCI Emerging Markets ETF | iShares | 0.09% | US$135.4B | 32.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 0.03% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| SCHE | Schwab Emerging Markets Equity ETF | Schwab | 0.07% | US$12.0B | 28.4% | N/A | N/A | 0.03% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| EEM ⭐ | iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF | iShares | 0.72% | US$25.1B | 37.8% | 15.8% | 3.5% | 0.02% | 0.16% | N/A | 0.020% |
| Category Average | 0.28% | — | 30.9% | 9.9% | 4.3% | 0.03% | — | N/A | — | ||
| 1 Year | 3 Years | 5 Years | 10 Years |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.18% | 0.16% | 0.18% | N/A |
| 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y |
|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | 0.90 | N/A | N/A |
| 3 Years | 5 Years |
|---|---|
| N/A | N/A |
| 1 Year | 3 Years | 5 Years | Since Inception |
|---|---|---|---|
| -0.18% | N/A | -0.24% | -0.34% |
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Median (Percent) | 0.020% |
| Median (Dollar) | N/A |
| During Hours | N/A |
| At Close | N/A |
| Volatility | low |
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Current | 0.87% |
| 30-Day Average | N/A |
| 1-Year Average | N/A |
| Standard Deviation | N/A |
| Max Premium (1Y) | N/A |
| Max Discount (1Y) | N/A |
| Period | Net Flow |
|---|
⚠️ Disclaimer: This ETF research report is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell securities. EC² Invest is not a registered investment advisor. All data is sourced from public sources and may contain errors. Past performance does not guarantee future results. ETF investing involves risk, including possible loss of principal. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial professional before making investment decisions.