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equity ETF | passive | BlackRock | Tracks MSCI
📊 The Bottom Line
This ETF tracks the MSCI Australia Index, providing exposure to large- and mid-capitalization Australian equities. It is a highly liquid and cost-effective way to access a diversified segment of Australia's economy, heavily weighted towards financials and materials sectors. The bull case projects continued earnings growth and potential rate cuts, while the bear case highlights concentration risks and inflation challenges.
⚖️ Risk vs Reward
The Australian equity market, as represented by EWA's holdings, trades at a P/E of 21.93x, which is above its 5-year and 10-year historical averages, suggesting current valuations are on the higher side. While recent performance has been positive, outperforming some broader international markets, the concentration in financial and materials sectors presents specific risks tied to global commodity cycles and domestic economic conditions. The potential for further growth in key sectors offers upside, but the current valuation and sector-specific headwinds create a balanced risk-reward profile, with a sensitivity to global economic shifts.
🚀 Why EWA Could Soar
⚠️ What Could Go Wrong
🎯 Why This Matters
Understanding EWA's underlying market dynamics is crucial as Australia's equity landscape is heavily influenced by global commodity demand and a concentrated financial sector. This creates a unique risk-reward profile, where investors gain exposure to a developed market that can be sensitive to both global growth cycles and domestic economic policy shifts.
Sustained high demand from major trading partners like China for Australia's natural resources (iron ore, coal, LNG) could drive a 15-20% increase in the earnings of materials companies, translating to an estimated 5-7% upside for the ETF's NAV over 12-18 months.
Continued strength in Australia's labor market and wage growth could support robust consumer spending, leading to improved profitability for retail and financial sectors, potentially adding 3-5% to the ETF's NAV.
EWA's current 30-day SEC yield of 4.06% remains attractive. If global investors seek higher income and shift capital into dividend-paying markets, it could lead to a valuation re-rating, pushing NAV up by 5-10%.
A significant slowdown in global growth could trigger a sharp decline in commodity prices, impacting the profitability of EWA's large materials holdings by 20-30%, potentially reducing the ETF's NAV by 7-10%.
With over 35% allocated to financials, an economic downturn leading to increased loan defaults or tighter lending conditions could severely impact banking sector earnings, leading to a 10-15% NAV decline.
If Australian inflation remains stubbornly high, forcing the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) to maintain or increase interest rates, it could dampen economic activity and consumer confidence, leading to a 5-8% NAV depreciation.
| Fund | Expense Ratio | AUM (B) | 1Y Return | 3Y Return | 5Y Return | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA) ⭐ | 0.50% | US$1270.5B | 14.12% | 9.46% | 6.16% | 0.04% |
| Franklin FTSE Australia ETF (FLAU) | 0.09% | US$116.9B | 10.15% | 6.27% | 5.16% | 0.04% |
| iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ) | 0.50% | US$13600.0B | 17.58% | 6.84% | 6.47% | 0.02% |
🎯 Why This Matters
This valuation and peer analysis indicates EWA is a strong contender for Australian equity exposure due to its liquidity and established track record, though its current valuation demands careful consideration. Investors must weigh the potential for income and commodity-driven growth against sector concentration and broader market headwinds when deciding its role in their portfolio.
| # | Ticker | Logo | Name | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CBA | C | COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA | Financials | 0.1% |
| 2 | BHP | B | BHP GROUP LTD | Materials | 0.1% |
| 3 | WBC | W | WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION CORP | Financials | 0.1% |
| 4 | NAB | N | NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LTD | Financials | 0.1% |
| 5 | ANZ | A | ANZ GROUP HOLDINGS LTD | Financials | 0.1% |
| 6 | WES | W | WESFARMERS LTD | Consumer Discretionary | 0.0% |
| 7 | CSL | C | CSL LTD | Healthcare | 0.0% |
| 8 | MQG | M | MACQUARIE GROUP LTD DEF | Financials | 0.0% |
| 9 | GMG | G | GOODMAN GROUP UNITS | Real Estate | 0.0% |
| 10 | RIO | R | RIO TINTO LTD | Materials | 0.0% |
| Category | Weight | Description |
|---|---|---|
| Financials | 36.9% | |
| Materials | 20.4% | |
| Healthcare | 9.8% | |
| Industrials | 7.5% | |
| Consumer Discretionary | 6.3% | |
| Communication Services | 5.1% | |
| Energy | 3.3% | |
| Consumer Defensive | 3.4% | |
| Utilities | 1.6% | |
| Technology | 1.5% |
| Metric | 1 Year | 3 Year | 5 Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tracking Error | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Tracking Difference | -0.62% | -0.60% | -0.53% |
| Year | Expense Ratio |
|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.50% |
| 2024 | 0.50% |
| 2023 | 0.50% |
| Year | ETF Return | Benchmark Return | Tracking Diff | Volatility | Max Drawdown | Sharpe Ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 14.12% | 14.74% | -0.62% | 19.90% | N/A | N/A |
| 2024 | 0.82% | 1.23% | -0.41% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2023 | 13.98% | 14.79% | -0.81% | 18.30% | N/A | N/A |
| 2022 | -5.74% | -5.25% | -0.49% | 18.30% | N/A | N/A |
| 2021 | 9.09% | 9.41% | -0.32% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Ticker | Name | Issuer | Exp Ratio | AUM (B) | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | Yield | StdDev 3Y | Sharpe 3Y | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EWA ⭐ | iShares MSCI Australia ETF | BlackRock | 0.50% | US$1270.5B | 14.1% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 0.04% | 0.17% | N/A | 0.040% |
| FLAU | Franklin FTSE Australia ETF | Franklin Templeton | 0.09% | US$116.9B | 10.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 0.04% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| EWJ | iShares MSCI Japan ETF | BlackRock | 0.50% | US$13600.0B | 17.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 0.02% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Category Average | 0.36% | — | 13.9% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 0.03% | — | N/A | — | ||
| 1 Year | 3 Years | 5 Years | 10 Years |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.20% | 0.17% | 0.19% | 0.23% |
| 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y |
|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3 Years | 5 Years |
|---|---|
| N/A | N/A |
| 1 Year | 3 Years | 5 Years | Since Inception |
|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Median (Percent) | 0.040% |
| Median (Dollar) | US$0.01 |
| During Hours | N/A |
| At Close | N/A |
| Volatility | low |
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Current | 0.73% |
| 30-Day Average | -0.15% |
| 1-Year Average | N/A |
| Standard Deviation | N/A |
| Max Premium (1Y) | N/A |
| Max Discount (1Y) | N/A |
| Period | Net Flow |
|---|---|
| 1 Year | US$-0.0M |
⚠️ Disclaimer: This ETF research report is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell securities. EC² Invest is not a registered investment advisor. All data is sourced from public sources and may contain errors. Past performance does not guarantee future results. ETF investing involves risk, including possible loss of principal. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial professional before making investment decisions.