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equity ETF | passive | iShares (BlackRock, Inc.) | Tracks MSCI
📊 The Bottom Line
This ETF invests in large-, mid-, and small-capitalization equities across global emerging markets, offering broad exposure to these growing economies. With a current market price of US$72.60 and NAV of US$71.89, it currently trades at a slight premium of 0.98%. The bull case projects the NAV could reach US$83.49 (+15%) while the bear case suggests a downside to US$62.44 (-14%), making it suitable for long-term growth-oriented portfolios.
⚖️ Risk vs Reward
Emerging market equities are currently trading at a P/E ratio of 17.35x, which is modestly above its benchmark, suggesting fair to slightly premium valuation compared to its historical averages. This valuation is notably lower than developed markets, offering a potential value proposition for investors seeking international diversification. While emerging markets generally offer higher growth potential driven by favorable demographics and industrialization, they also carry elevated risks such as geopolitical instability, currency fluctuations, and varying regulatory environments. The ETF's low expense ratio and broad diversification within the emerging markets help mitigate some fund-specific risks, but the inherent volatility of the underlying asset class remains a key consideration for the risk/reward profile.
🚀 Why IEMG Could Soar
⚠️ What Could Go Wrong
🎯 Why This Matters
Understanding the dynamic nature of emerging markets is crucial, as their growth potential comes with inherent sensitivities to global economic shifts and local policy changes. This ETF offers a diversified approach to access these markets, but investors must weigh the long-term growth opportunities against the potential for higher volatility and specific regional risks.
If emerging market economies rebound strongly, driven by increased trade and domestic reforms, aggregate corporate earnings for IEMG's holdings could expand by 10-15% over the next 12-18 months. Coupled with a modest P/E expansion to 20x from 17.35x, this could lead to a NAV of US$83.49, representing a 15% upside.
Emerging markets benefit from younger populations and growing middle classes, fueling domestic consumption. A 5-7% acceleration in consumer spending could translate to a 8-10% uplift in revenue for consumer-oriented holdings, contributing to a 5-7% NAV increase.
If major emerging market currencies strengthen against the US dollar by 5-10%, it would directly increase the dollar-denominated value of IEMG's holdings, potentially adding 5-10% to the ETF's NAV over the next year.
A significant global economic downturn could reduce demand for emerging market exports and negatively impact corporate profitability. A 10-15% decline in earnings and a P/E contraction to 15x could result in a NAV of US$62.44, representing a 14% downside.
Escalating trade disputes or geopolitical conflicts, particularly involving large emerging market economies, could disrupt supply chains, deter foreign investment, and lead to a 5-8% reduction in the market values of affected companies, impacting the ETF's NAV.
If inflation remains stubbornly high in emerging markets, forcing central banks to maintain restrictive monetary policies, it could suppress economic growth and increase borrowing costs for companies, leading to a 7-10% decline in equity valuations.
| Fund | Expense Ratio | AUM (B) | 1Y Return | 3Y Return | 5Y Return | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| iShares Core MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (IEMG) ⭐ | 0.09% | US$120.1B | 32.10% | 16.30% | 4.60% | 0.02% |
| Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets ETF (VWO) | 0.07% | US$12.0B | 28.40% | 14.71% | 4.88% | 0.03% |
| iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM) | 0.72% | US$25.1B | 37.90% | 15.80% | 3.50% | 0.02% |
🎯 Why This Matters
The valuation and peer comparison highlight IEMG's strength as a low-cost, broadly diversified entry into emerging markets. This makes it a suitable foundational component for long-term investors seeking exposure to developing economies. However, the performance and risk metrics of peers suggest that while IEMG is competitive on cost, investors should align their choice with specific index preferences (e.g., MSCI vs. FTSE) and desired market-cap exposure, as these can lead to differing return profiles and risk characteristics over time.
| # | Ticker | Logo | Name | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2330 | T | Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd | Technology | 0.1% |
| 2 | 005930 | S | Samsung Electronics Co Ltd | Technology | 0.0% |
| 3 | 700 | T | Tencent Holdings Ltd | Communication Services | 0.0% |
| 4 | 9988 | A | Alibaba Group Holding Ltd | Consumer Cyclical | 0.0% |
| 5 | 000660 | S | SK Hynix Inc | Technology | 0.0% |
| 6 | HDFCBANK | H | HDFC Bank Ltd | Financials | 0.0% |
| 7 | 939 | C | China Construction Bank Corp H | Financials | 0.0% |
| 8 | RELIANCE | R | Reliance Industries Ltd | Energy | 0.0% |
| 9 | 2317 | H | Hon Hai Precision Industry Co Ltd | Technology | 0.0% |
| 10 | 1810 | X | Xiaomi Corp | Technology | 0.0% |
| Category | Weight | Description |
|---|---|---|
| Information Technology | 0.3% | |
| Financials | 0.2% | |
| Consumer Discretionary | 0.1% | |
| Industrials | 0.1% | |
| Communication Services | 0.1% | |
| Materials | 0.1% | |
| Health Care | 0.0% | |
| Consumer Staples | 0.0% | |
| Energy | 0.0% | |
| Utilities | 0.0% | |
| Real Estate | 0.0% | |
| Cash and/or Derivatives | 0.0% | |
| China | 0.2% | |
| Taiwan | 0.2% | |
| India | 0.1% | |
| South Korea | 0.1% | |
| Other Countries | 0.3% |
| Metric | 1 Year | 3 Year | 5 Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tracking Error | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Tracking Difference | 0.74% | 0.03% | -0.06% |
| Year | Expense Ratio |
|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.09% |
| 2024 | 0.09% |
| 2023 | 0.09% |
| 2022 | 0.09% |
| 2021 | 0.09% |
| Year | ETF Return | Benchmark Return | Tracking Diff | Volatility | Max Drawdown | Sharpe Ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 32.12% | 31.38% | 0.01% | 15.42% | -34.34% | 0.83 |
| 2024 | 6.92% | 7.09% | -0.00% | 15.42% | -34.34% | 0.83 |
| 2023 | 11.31% | 11.67% | -0.00% | 15.42% | -34.34% | 0.83 |
| 2022 | -19.87% | -19.83% | -0.00% | 15.42% | -34.34% | 0.83 |
| 2021 | -0.64% | -0.28% | -0.00% | 15.42% | -34.34% | 0.83 |
| Ticker | Name | Issuer | Exp Ratio | AUM (B) | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | Yield | StdDev 3Y | Sharpe 3Y | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IEMG ⭐ | iShares Core MSCI Emerging Markets ETF | iShares | 0.09% | US$120.1B | 32.1% | 16.3% | 4.6% | 0.02% | 12.90% | 0.83 | 0.010% |
| VWO | Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets ETF | Vanguard | 0.07% | US$12.0B | 28.4% | 14.7% | 4.9% | 0.03% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| EEM | iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF | iShares | 0.72% | US$25.1B | 37.9% | 15.8% | 3.5% | 0.02% | 13.42% | 0.80 | N/A |
| Category Average | 0.50% | — | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.03% | — | N/A | — | ||
| 1 Year | 3 Years | 5 Years | 10 Years |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.16% | 0.13% | 0.15% | 0.17% |
| 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.32 | 0.83 | 0.25 | 0.52 |
| 3 Years | 5 Years |
|---|---|
| N/A | N/A |
| 1 Year | 3 Years | 5 Years | Since Inception |
|---|---|---|---|
| -0.18% | -0.18% | -0.24% | -0.34% |
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Median (Percent) | 0.010% |
| Median (Dollar) | US$0.01 |
| During Hours | N/A |
| At Close | N/A |
| Volatility | N/A |
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Current | 0.98% |
| 30-Day Average | 0.40% |
| 1-Year Average | 0.70% |
| Standard Deviation | N/A |
| Max Premium (1Y) | N/A |
| Max Discount (1Y) | N/A |
| Period | Net Flow |
|---|---|
| 1 Year | US$25240.0M |
⚠️ Disclaimer: This ETF research report is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell securities. EC² Invest is not a registered investment advisor. All data is sourced from public sources and may contain errors. Past performance does not guarantee future results. ETF investing involves risk, including possible loss of principal. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial professional before making investment decisions.