⚠️ EC² Invest can make mistakes. Please double check information in this report.
equity ETF | passive | iShares | Tracks S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC (SPDJI)
📊 The Bottom Line
This ETF offers exposure to the small-capitalization sector of the U.S. equity market by tracking the S&P SmallCap 600 Index. It provides a cost-effective and diversified way to access over 600 small-cap U.S. companies. With an expense ratio significantly below the category average, IJR is a highly efficient vehicle for small-cap allocation. Bull case projects NAV reaching US$153.77 (+20%) while bear case suggests US$102.51 (-20%) over 12-18 months.
⚖️ Risk vs Reward
Small-cap equities are currently trading near their 10-year median P/E and P/B ratios, suggesting a fair valuation compared to historical norms. However, they remain at a discount relative to large-cap counterparts, offering potential for value-driven outperformance if economic conditions favor smaller companies. The sector carries higher inherent volatility and sensitivity to economic cycles compared to the broader market, making it more susceptible to significant drawdowns during downturns. Upside potential is driven by earnings growth and multiple expansion, while downside risk stems from economic contraction and rising interest rates. IJR's broad diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk within this volatile segment.
🚀 Why IJR Could Soar
⚠️ What Could Go Wrong
🎯 Why This Matters
Investing in small-cap equities provides portfolio diversification and access to a segment of the market with historically higher growth potential. Understanding current economic sensitivity and valuation relative to large-caps is crucial for assessing risk and reward in this dynamic space.
If the U.S. economy experiences a stronger-than-expected rebound, small-cap companies could see average earnings growth of 15-20% over 12-18 months, potentially driving a 15% upside to the ETF's NAV.
Should investors rotate from historically expensive large-cap stocks into relatively undervalued small-caps, the small-cap P/E multiple could expand from 18.57x to 22x, contributing to an additional 10-15% NAV appreciation.
A sustained decline in inflation leading to Federal Reserve rate cuts would reduce borrowing costs for small-cap companies and boost consumer spending, translating to a 10-12% NAV increase over the next year.
A material economic slowdown or recession could trigger a 20-25% decline in small-cap corporate earnings, potentially leading to a 20% downside in IJR's NAV as multiples compress.
Should interest rates remain elevated or increase further, it would raise borrowing costs and reduce profitability for many small-cap companies, contributing to a 10-15% NAV decline.
Periods of heightened market uncertainty could lead to increased volatility and reduced liquidity in the small-cap segment, potentially causing wider bid-ask spreads and accelerated NAV declines, possibly by 5-10%.
| Fund | Expense Ratio | AUM (B) | 1Y Return | 3Y Return | 5Y Return | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| iShares Core S&P Small-Cap ETF (IJR) ⭐ | 6.00% | US$96.0B | 7.60% | 10.12% | 7.23% | 1.44% |
| Vanguard Small-Cap ETF (VB) | 5.00% | US$77.3B | 10.47% | 13.83% | 7.23% | 1.25% |
| Schwab U.S. Small-Cap ETF (SCHA) | 4.00% | US$20.9B | 14.77% | 13.92% | 6.16% | 1.17% |
| SPDR Portfolio S&P 600 Small Cap ETF (SPSM) | 3.00% | US$13.3B | 9.01% | 10.41% | 6.59% | 1.52% |
🎯 Why This Matters
The valuation and peer analysis highlight IJR's role as a robust and cost-effective tool for small-cap equity exposure. Investors must weigh its efficient index tracking and strong liquidity against the inherent volatility of the small-cap segment, particularly when considering its historical performance against broader market indices.
| # | Ticker | Logo | Name | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SOLS | S | SOLSTICE ADVANCED MATERIALS INC | Materials | 0.6% |
| 2 | AEIS | A | ADVANCED ENERGY INDUSTRIES INC | Information Technology | 0.6% |
| 3 | TTMI | T | TTM TECHNOLOGIES INC | Information Technology | 0.6% |
| 4 | SANM | S | SANMINA CORP | Information Technology | 0.6% |
| 5 | ARWR | A | ARROWHEAD PHARMACEUTICALS INC | Health Care | 0.6% |
| 6 | LKQ | L | LKQ CORP | Consumer Discretionary | 0.6% |
| 7 | IDCC | I | INTERDIGITAL INC | Information Technology | 0.5% |
| 8 | MOG.A | M | MOOG INC CLASS A | Industrials | 0.5% |
| 9 | CTRE | C | CARETRUST REIT INC | Real Estate | 0.5% |
| 10 | AWI | A | ARMSTRONG WORLD INDUSTRIES INC | Industrials | 0.5% |
| Category | Weight | Description |
|---|---|---|
| Finance | 25.7% | |
| Electronic Technology | 10.4% | |
| Health Technology | 9.4% | |
| Producer Manufacturing | 8.1% | |
| Technology Services | 7.2% | |
| Process Industries | 5.2% | |
| Retail Trade | 4.5% | |
| Consumer Durables | 4.2% | |
| Consumer Services | 4.1% | |
| Industrial Services | 4.0% | |
| Consumer Non-Durables | 2.5% | |
| Energy Minerals | 2.3% | |
| Utilities | 2.2% | |
| Commercial Services | 2.1% | |
| Transportation | 2.0% | |
| Health Services | 1.6% | |
| Distribution Services | 1.3% | |
| CASH | 1.2% | |
| Communications | 0.9% | |
| Non-Energy Minerals | 0.8% | |
| Miscellaneous | 0.1% |
| Year | ETF Return | Benchmark Return | Tracking Diff | Volatility | Max Drawdown | Sharpe Ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 5.95% | 6.02% | -0.07% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2024 | 8.61% | 8.70% | -0.09% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2023 | 16.03% | 16.05% | -0.02% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2022 | -16.20% | -16.10% | -0.10% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2021 | 26.69% | 26.82% | -0.13% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Ticker | Name | Issuer | Exp Ratio | AUM (B) | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | Yield | StdDev 3Y | Sharpe 3Y | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IJR ⭐ | iShares Core S&P Small-Cap ETF | iShares | 6.00% | US$96.0B | 7.6% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 1.44% | 19.59% | 0.29 | 7.000% |
| VB | Vanguard Small-Cap ETF | Vanguard | 5.00% | US$77.3B | 10.5% | 13.8% | 7.2% | 1.25% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| SCHA | Schwab U.S. Small-Cap ETF | Schwab | 4.00% | US$20.9B | 14.8% | 13.9% | 6.2% | 1.17% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| SPSM | SPDR Portfolio S&P 600 Small Cap ETF | State Street | 3.00% | US$13.3B | 9.0% | 10.4% | 6.6% | 1.52% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Category Average | 61.00% | — | 10.4% | 9.7% | 5.2% | 1.40% | — | N/A | — | ||
| 1 Year | 3 Years | 5 Years | 10 Years |
|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | 19.59% | N/A | N/A |
| 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y |
|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | 0.29 | N/A | N/A |
| 3 Years | 5 Years |
|---|---|
| 0.48 | N/A |
| 1 Year | 3 Years | 5 Years | Since Inception |
|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | N/A | -28.02% | -51.79% |
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Median (Percent) | 7.000% |
| Median (Dollar) | US$0.09 |
| During Hours | N/A |
| At Close | N/A |
| Volatility | low |
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Current | 2.76% |
| 30-Day Average | N/A |
| 1-Year Average | N/A |
| Standard Deviation | N/A |
| Max Premium (1Y) | N/A |
| Max Discount (1Y) | N/A |
| Period | Net Flow |
|---|---|
| 1 Year | US$-0.0M |
⚠️ Disclaimer: This ETF research report is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell securities. EC² Invest is not a registered investment advisor. All data is sourced from public sources and may contain errors. Past performance does not guarantee future results. ETF investing involves risk, including possible loss of principal. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial professional before making investment decisions.