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equity ETF | passive | Schwab | Tracks FTSE
📊 The Bottom Line
This ETF offers broad-based exposure to emerging market equities, tracking the performance of large and mid-capitalization companies in emerging market countries. With a highly competitive expense ratio and strong diversification, SCHE provides an efficient way to access this growth-oriented segment of the global market. Our bull case projects NAV reaching US$41.63 (+20%) while the bear case suggests US$29.49 (-15%) over the next 12-18 months.
⚖️ Risk vs Reward
Emerging market equities currently present a compelling risk-reward profile, trading at a P/E of 14.25x which is slightly above category averages, indicating fair pricing with growth potential. The sector has strong tailwinds from demographic trends and digitalization. However, the asset class remains susceptible to geopolitical risks, currency fluctuations, and policy changes in major emerging economies like China and India. Compared to developed markets, emerging markets offer higher growth potential but also carry elevated volatility. SCHE's low expense ratio mitigates some fund-specific drag, but the inherent risks of the underlying asset class remain a primary consideration for investors.
🚀 Why SCHE Could Soar
⚠️ What Could Go Wrong
🎯 Why This Matters
Understanding the dynamic nature of emerging markets is crucial as they offer compelling long-term growth prospects alongside distinct geopolitical and economic risks. The sector's current valuation needs to be considered in the context of these opportunities and challenges, making a diversified and cost-effective approach essential for investors.
If global GDP growth surpasses current forecasts, particularly driven by robust demand from developed economies, emerging market exports could surge, boosting corporate earnings by 10-15% and potentially lifting the ETF's NAV by 15-20%.
If central banks in key emerging economies maintain accommodative monetary policies or begin rate cuts, it could stimulate domestic demand, reduce borrowing costs for companies, and enhance equity valuations, contributing 5-10% upside to NAV.
A de-escalation of global trade disputes and a more stable geopolitical environment could reduce risk premiums associated with emerging markets, attracting significant capital inflows and potentially adding 10-15% to the ETF's NAV.
If inflation remains stubbornly high, forcing central banks globally (especially the U.S. Federal Reserve) to maintain or increase interest rates, it could trigger capital outflows from emerging markets, leading to currency depreciation and a 15-20% downside to the ETF's NAV.
A severe downturn in China's economy, driven by ongoing real estate sector issues or unexpected policy shifts, could significantly impact emerging market demand and supply chains, potentially causing a 10-15% decline in the ETF's NAV.
Heightened geopolitical conflicts or a significant increase in political instability within major emerging economies could deter foreign investment and disrupt economic activity, resulting in a 10-15% reduction in the ETF's NAV.
| Fund | Expense Ratio | AUM (B) | 1Y Return | 3Y Return | 5Y Return | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Schwab Emerging Markets Equity ETF (SCHE) ⭐ | 7.00% | US$12.1B | 28.40% | 15.09% | 4.47% | 2.87% |
| Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets ETF (VWO) | 7.00% | US$108.5B | 25.58% | 15.01% | 4.70% | 3.65% |
| iShares Core MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (IEMG) | 9.00% | US$127.3B | 29.15% | 14.94% | 5.86% | 2.94% |
| iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM) | 72.00% | US$25.1B | 37.90% | 15.64% | 3.75% | 2.20% |
| SPDR Portfolio Emerging Markets ETF (SPEM) | 7.00% | US$16.5B | 28.60% | 15.64% | 4.81% | 2.72% |
🎯 Why This Matters
The detailed valuation and peer analysis reveal that SCHE offers a highly competitive and diversified entry point into emerging market equities. Its low expense ratio is a significant advantage for long-term investors, although some peers may offer slightly different exposures or recent performance. Investors should consider their risk tolerance for emerging market volatility and their specific investment goals when choosing among these options.
| # | Ticker | Logo | Name | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2330 | T | Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd | Technology | 13.5% |
| 2 | 700 | T | Tencent Holdings Ltd | Communication Services | 4.7% |
| 3 | 9988 | A | Alibaba Group Holding Ltd Ordinary Shares | Consumer Cyclical | 3.6% |
| 4 | 500180 | H | HDFC Bank Ltd | Financial Services | 1.1% |
| 5 | 500325 | R | Reliance Industries Ltd | Energy | 1.0% |
| 6 | 939 | C | China Construction Bank Corp Class H | Financial Services | 0.9% |
| 7 | 2317 | H | Hon Hai Precision Industry Co Ltd | Technology | 0.8% |
| 8 | 532174 | I | ICICI Bank Ltd | Financial Services | 0.8% |
| 9 | PDD | P | PDD Holdings Inc ADR | Consumer Cyclical | 0.8% |
| 10 | 1810 | X | Xiaomi Corp Class B | Technology | 0.8% |
| Category | Weight | Description |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 25.4% | |
| Financial Services | 21.8% | |
| Consumer Cyclical | 11.8% | |
| Communication Services | 9.5% | |
| Basic Materials | 8.4% | |
| Industrials | 6.7% | |
| Energy | 4.4% | |
| Consumer Defensive | 3.8% | |
| Healthcare | 3.7% | |
| Utilities | 2.7% | |
| Real Estate | 1.8% |
| Year | ETF Return | Benchmark Return | Tracking Diff | Volatility | Max Drawdown | Sharpe Ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 23.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| 2024 | 7.40% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| 2023 | 4.70% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| 2022 | -20.10% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| 2021 | -3.40% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| Ticker | Name | Issuer | Exp Ratio | AUM (B) | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | Yield | StdDev 3Y | Sharpe 3Y | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SCHE ⭐ | Schwab Emerging Markets Equity ETF | Schwab | 7.00% | US$12.1B | 28.4% | 15.1% | 4.5% | 2.87% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| VWO | Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets ETF | Vanguard | 7.00% | US$108.5B | 25.6% | 15.0% | 4.7% | 3.65% | N/A | 0.83 | N/A |
| IEMG | iShares Core MSCI Emerging Markets ETF | iShares | 9.00% | US$127.3B | 29.1% | 14.9% | 5.9% | 2.94% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| EEM | iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF | iShares | 72.00% | US$25.1B | 37.9% | 15.6% | 3.8% | 2.20% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| SPEM | SPDR Portfolio Emerging Markets ETF | State Street | 7.00% | US$16.5B | 28.6% | 15.6% | 4.8% | 2.72% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Category Average | 50.00% | — | 29.9% | 15.3% | 4.7% | 2.88% | — | N/A | — | ||
| 1 Year | 3 Years | 5 Years | 10 Years |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | N/A |
| 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | N/A |
| 3 Years | 5 Years |
|---|---|
| 0.00 | 0.00 |
| 1 Year | 3 Years | 5 Years | Since Inception |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.00% | 0.00% | -39.82% | 0.00% |
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Median (Percent) | 3.000% |
| Median (Dollar) | US$0.01 |
| During Hours | 0.000% |
| At Close | 0.000% |
| Volatility | low |
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Current | 58.00% |
| 30-Day Average | 39.00% |
| 1-Year Average | N/A |
| Standard Deviation | 0.00% |
| Max Premium (1Y) | N/A |
| Max Discount (1Y) | N/A |
| Period | Net Flow |
|---|---|
| 1 Month | US$0.0M |
| 1 Quarter | US$0.0M |
| 1 Year | US$0.0M |
⚠️ Disclaimer: This ETF research report is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell securities. EC² Invest is not a registered investment advisor. All data is sourced from public sources and may contain errors. Past performance does not guarantee future results. ETF investing involves risk, including possible loss of principal. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial professional before making investment decisions.