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equity ETF | passive | Schwab | Tracks FTSE Developed ex US Index (Net)
📊 The Bottom Line
This ETF tracks large- and mid-capitalization companies in developed countries outside the United States. With an ultra-low expense ratio and significant AUM, it offers an efficient and highly liquid way to gain broad international equity exposure. The bull case projects NAV reaching US$28.96 (+15%) while the bear case suggests US$21.40 (-15%) over 12-18 months.
⚖️ Risk vs Reward
The underlying developed international equity holdings have shown robust performance recently, but valuations, while reasonable, warrant attention in a volatile global economic landscape. This ETF's broad diversification across geographies and sectors, including traditionally overlooked markets like Canada and South Korea, provides a comparative advantage against more concentrated international funds. The risk-reward profile is balanced, with potential upside driven by continued global economic recovery and currency strength, offset by macroeconomic headwinds and geopolitical uncertainties. The fund's low cost structure significantly enhances its long-term return potential relative to higher-fee alternatives.
🚀 Why SCHF Could Soar
⚠️ What Could Go Wrong
🎯 Why This Matters
Understanding the current momentum in developed international equities is crucial, as the asset class offers diversification from a U.S.-centric portfolio and exposure to mature, established economies. While recent performance has been strong, investors should be aware of ongoing global macroeconomic risks and currency volatility inherent in international investments. SCHF's low expense ratio and broad exposure make it an efficient vehicle for accessing this market segment.
Stronger-than-expected economic growth in developed ex-US economies could boost corporate earnings and drive equity prices higher by an estimated 10-15% over the next 12-18 months, leading to a NAV of US$28.96.
International developed markets may be undervalued compared to the stretched valuations of some US counterparts. This valuation gap could trigger capital rotation into these markets, providing an additional 5-10% upside to NAV.
A potential weakening of the US Dollar against major international currencies could enhance returns for US investors in SCHF's holdings, contributing an estimated 3-7% to overall performance.
Stubborn inflation leading to prolonged high interest rates globally could depress equity valuations and curb economic growth, potentially leading to a 10-15% market correction, bringing NAV down to US$21.40.
Escalation of existing geopolitical conflicts or the emergence of new ones could disrupt global trade, supply chains, and investor confidence, causing a 5-10% market downturn.
A broader global economic slowdown or recession, particularly in key developed markets, could severely impact corporate earnings and lead to a significant decline in equity prices, potentially 15-20%.
| Fund | Expense Ratio | AUM (B) | 1Y Return | 3Y Return | 5Y Return | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Schwab International Equity ETF (SCHF) ⭐ | 3.00% | US$58.0B | 34.47% | 18.06% | 9.30% | 3.41% |
| Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets ETF (VEA) | 3.00% | US$193.3B | 35.15% | 17.94% | 9.14% | 3.21% |
| iShares MSCI EAFE ETF (EFA) | 32.00% | US$73.8B | 31.38% | 17.07% | 8.88% | 2.87% |
| SPDR Portfolio Developed World ex-US ETF (SPDW) | 3.00% | US$34.8B | 34.74% | 18.02% | 8.85% | 3.14% |
🎯 Why This Matters
The valuation and peer analysis highlight SCHF as a highly cost-efficient and well-diversified option for developed international equity exposure. Its competitive performance and inclusion of a broader set of developed markets differentiate it. Investors should consider these factors when allocating to international equities, particularly if minimizing costs and achieving broad market representation are primary objectives.
| # | Ticker | Logo | Name | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ASML | A | ASML Holding NV | Technology | 2.0% |
| 2 | 005930 | S | Samsung Electronics Co Ltd | Technology | 1.8% |
| 3 | ROG | R | Roche Holding AG | Healthcare | 1.1% |
| 4 | HSBA | H | HSBC Holdings PLC | Financials | 1.1% |
| 5 | NOVN | N | Novartis AG Registered Shares | Healthcare | 1.0% |
| 6 | 000660 | S | SK Hynix Inc | Technology | 1.0% |
| 7 | AZN | A | AstraZeneca PLC | Healthcare | 1.0% |
| 8 | 7203 | T | Toyota Motor Corp | Consumer Cyclical | 0.9% |
| 9 | RY | R | Royal Bank of Canada | Financials | 0.9% |
| 10 | NESN | N | Nestle SA | Consumer Defensive | 0.9% |
| Category | Weight | Description |
|---|---|---|
| Financials | 24.1% | |
| Industrials | 18.8% | |
| Technology | 12.5% | |
| Healthcare | 9.3% | |
| Consumer Cyclical | 8.3% | |
| Basic Materials | 7.3% | |
| Consumer Defensive | 6.2% | |
| Energy | 4.4% | |
| Communication Services | 3.6% | |
| Utilities | 3.3% | |
| Real Estate | 2.3% |
| Year | ETF Return | Benchmark Return | Tracking Diff | Volatility | Max Drawdown | Sharpe Ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 34.47% | 31.87% | 2.60% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2024 | 3.46% | 5.37% | -1.91% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2023 | 18.28% | 15.64% | 2.64% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2022 | -14.90% | -15.32% | 0.42% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2021 | 11.42% | 8.24% | 3.18% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Ticker | Name | Issuer | Exp Ratio | AUM (B) | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | Yield | StdDev 3Y | Sharpe 3Y | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SCHF ⭐ | Schwab International Equity ETF | Schwab | 3.00% | US$58.0B | 34.5% | 18.1% | 9.3% | 3.41% | 12.25% | 1.02 | 0.040% |
| VEA | Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets ETF | Vanguard | 3.00% | US$193.3B | 35.1% | 17.9% | 9.1% | 3.21% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| EFA | iShares MSCI EAFE ETF | BlackRock | 32.00% | US$73.8B | 31.4% | 17.1% | 8.9% | 2.87% | N/A | 0.75 | N/A |
| SPDW | SPDR Portfolio Developed World ex-US ETF | SPDR | 3.00% | US$34.8B | 34.7% | 18.0% | 8.8% | 3.14% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Category Average | 40.00% | — | 30.4% | 16.7% | 8.1% | 2.96% | — | 0.95 | — | ||
| 1 Year | 3 Years | 5 Years | 10 Years |
|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | 12.25% | N/A | N/A |
| 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y |
|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | 1.02 | N/A | N/A |
| 3 Years | 5 Years |
|---|---|
| N/A | N/A |
| 1 Year | 3 Years | 5 Years | Since Inception |
|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | N/A | -29.15% | N/A |
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Median (Percent) | 0.040% |
| Median (Dollar) | US$0.01 |
| During Hours | N/A |
| At Close | N/A |
| Volatility | low |
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Current | 0.99% |
| 30-Day Average | 0.47% |
| 1-Year Average | N/A |
| Standard Deviation | N/A |
| Max Premium (1Y) | N/A |
| Max Discount (1Y) | N/A |
| Period | Net Flow |
|---|---|
| 1 Month | US$0.0M |
| 1 Quarter | US$0.0M |
| 1 Year | US$0.0M |
⚠️ Disclaimer: This ETF research report is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell securities. EC² Invest is not a registered investment advisor. All data is sourced from public sources and may contain errors. Past performance does not guarantee future results. ETF investing involves risk, including possible loss of principal. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial professional before making investment decisions.