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equity ETF | passive | Vanguard | Tracks FTSE
📊 The Bottom Line
This ETF offers broad exposure to a market-capitalization-weighted index of global stocks outside the United States, spanning both developed and emerging markets. It is a highly cost-efficient and broadly diversified vehicle for international equity allocation. The bull case projects an NAV of US$99.83 (+25%) while the bear case suggests US$63.88 (-20%) over the next 12-18 months.
⚖️ Risk vs Reward
International equities are currently trading at more attractive valuations compared to their U.S. counterparts, with VXUS's holdings at an aggregate P/E of 17.1x, which is below global averages. While foreign markets have shown strong performance, notably in 2025 where VXUS outperformed the S&P 500, they remain susceptible to global macroeconomic headwinds and currency fluctuations. The potential for continued outperformance against the U.S. is a key upside, balanced by geopolitical risks and slower global growth in some regions.
🚀 Why VXUS Could Soar
⚠️ What Could Go Wrong
🎯 Why This Matters
Understanding the international equity landscape is vital for diversification, offering access to growth beyond domestic borders and potentially attractive valuations. However, investors must consider the inherent complexities of diverse economies, currencies, and geopolitical risks that can significantly influence returns.
A synchronized global economic rebound could drive earnings growth for international companies by an average of 10-15% over the next 12-18 months. If P/E ratios remain stable, this implies a 10-15% increase in NAV. Bull NAV target: US$99.83 (+25%).
If international market valuations catch up to historical averages or narrow the discount to U.S. markets, P/E ratios could expand by 10-15%, contributing to an additional 5-10% NAV appreciation.
Further depreciation of the U.S. dollar by 5-7% against major currencies could directly translate into an equivalent percentage gain for dollar-denominated VXUS returns, adding to NAV growth.
If global inflation remains stubbornly high, forcing central banks to maintain aggressive tightening, it could trigger a global recession, leading to a 15-20% drop in international equity valuations. Bear NAV target: US$63.88 (-20%).
Escalating geopolitical conflicts or renewed trade tensions could disrupt global supply chains and dampen international business sentiment, resulting in a 10-15% decline in corporate profits and share prices.
A resurgence in U.S. dollar strength, driven by safe-haven demand or divergence in economic growth, could negatively impact foreign currency-denominated returns by 5-10%.
| Fund | Expense Ratio | AUM (B) | 1Y Return | 3Y Return | 5Y Return | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanguard Total International Stock Index Fund ETF Shares (VXUS) ⭐ | 5.00% | US$120.7B | 35.17% | 16.04% | 8.07% | 3.18% |
| Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets ETF (VEA) | 3.00% | US$200.2B | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Vanguard FTSE All-World ex-US ETF (VEU) | 8.00% | US$56.1B | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| iShares MSCI ACWI ex US ETF (ACWX) | 32.00% | US$8.4B | 34.20% | N/A | 46.40% | 2.70% |
🎯 Why This Matters
The valuation and performance analysis reveal that VXUS offers a compelling, low-cost gateway to international equity markets. Its broad diversification reduces idiosyncratic risks, making it a robust option for investors prioritizing global exposure and cost efficiency. However, macro-level economic and geopolitical factors will remain crucial determinants of its performance, necessitating careful monitoring.
| # | Ticker | Logo | Name | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TSM | T | Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co., Ltd. | Technology | 3.0% |
| 2 | 00700.HK | T | Tencent Holdings Ltd | Communication Services | 1.2% |
| 3 | ASML.AS | A | ASML Holding NV | Technology | 1.1% |
| 4 | 005930.KS | S | Samsung Electronics Co. Ltd. | Technology | 1.0% |
| 5 | 9988.HK | A | Alibaba Group Holding Ltd | Consumer Cyclical | 0.8% |
| 6 | ROG.SW | R | Roche Holding AG | Healthcare | 0.7% |
| 7 | AZN.L | A | AstraZeneca PLC | Healthcare | 0.7% |
| 8 | HSBA.L | H | HSBC Holdings Plc | Financials | 0.7% |
| 9 | NOVN.SW | N | Novartis AG | Healthcare | 0.7% |
| 10 | NESN.SW | N | Nestle S.A. | Consumer Defensive | 0.6% |
| Category | Weight | Description |
|---|---|---|
| Asia Pacific | 45.6% | Includes major developed and emerging Asian markets |
| Europe | 41.3% | Comprises developed European economies |
| North, Central and South America (ex-US) | 10.2% | Covers Canada and Latin American markets |
| Emerging Markets | 26.8% | A subset of regions, representing rapidly developing economies |
| Financial Services | 23.4% | |
| Industrials | 15.7% | |
| Technology | 14.8% | |
| Consumer Cyclical | 9.9% | |
| Healthcare | 7.8% | |
| Basic Materials | 7.4% | |
| Consumer Defensive | 5.5% | |
| Communication Services | 5.2% | |
| Energy | 4.4% | |
| Utilities | 3.1% | |
| Real Estate | 2.8% |
| Metric | 1 Year | 3 Year | 5 Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tracking Error | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Tracking Difference | 28.00% | -12.00% | -6.00% |
| Year | Expense Ratio |
|---|---|
| 2025 | 5.00% |
| Year | ETF Return | Benchmark Return | Tracking Diff | Volatility | Max Drawdown | Sharpe Ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 32.35% | 31.95% | 0.40% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2024 | 5.09% | 5.53% | -0.44% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2023 | 15.92% | 15.79% | 0.13% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2022 | -16.13% | -16.10% | -0.03% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2021 | 9.00% | 8.84% | 0.16% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2020 | 10.71% | 11.24% | -0.53% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2019 | 21.84% | 21.80% | 0.04% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2018 | -14.49% | -14.61% | 0.12% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2017 | 27.49% | 27.41% | 0.08% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2016 | 4.71% | 4.72% | -0.01% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2015 | -4.10% | -4.29% | 0.19% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Ticker | Name | Issuer | Exp Ratio | AUM (B) | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | Yield | StdDev 3Y | Sharpe 3Y | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VXUS ⭐ | Vanguard Total International Stock Index Fund ETF Shares | Vanguard | 5.00% | US$120.7B | 35.2% | 16.0% | 8.1% | 3.18% | N/A | 0.77 | 1.000% |
| VEA | Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets ETF | Vanguard | 3.00% | US$200.2B | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| VEU | Vanguard FTSE All-World ex-US ETF | Vanguard | 8.00% | US$56.1B | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| ACWX | iShares MSCI ACWI ex US ETF | iShares | 32.00% | US$8.4B | 34.2% | N/A | 46.4% | 2.70% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Category Average | 85.00% | — | N/A | N/A | N/A | 3.02% | — | N/A | — | ||
| 1 Year | 3 Years | 5 Years | 10 Years |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5.84% | N/A | N/A | 14.32% |
| 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.28 | 0.77 | 0.58 | 0.58 |
| 3 Years | 5 Years |
|---|---|
| 1.28 | 0.59 |
| 1 Year | 3 Years | 5 Years | Since Inception |
|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | N/A | -29.43% | -35.97% |
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Median (Percent) | 1.000% |
| Median (Dollar) | N/A |
| During Hours | N/A |
| At Close | N/A |
| Volatility | low |
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Current | 16.00% |
| 30-Day Average | 20.00% |
| 1-Year Average | N/A |
| Standard Deviation | N/A |
| Max Premium (1Y) | 38.00% |
| Max Discount (1Y) | 0.00% |
| Period | Net Flow |
|---|
⚠️ Disclaimer: This ETF research report is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell securities. EC² Invest is not a registered investment advisor. All data is sourced from public sources and may contain errors. Past performance does not guarantee future results. ETF investing involves risk, including possible loss of principal. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial professional before making investment decisions.