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Wrapped Bitcoin USD

WBTC-USD:CCC

Smart Contract Platform

Price
US$89258.69 (23 Jan 2026)
-0.01% (24h)
ATH:US$162188.25
Market Cap
11.2B
24h Volume
235.5M
2.1% of market cap
Circulating Supply
0.13M
Unlimited

Executive Summary

📊 The Bottom Line

Wrapped Bitcoin (WBTC) is an ERC-20 token that maintains a 1:1 peg with Bitcoin, allowing BTC holders to participate in the Ethereum decentralized finance (DeFi) ecosystem. It serves as a crucial bridge, bringing Bitcoin's vast liquidity to Ethereum-based applications. While offering significant utility, WBTC operates under a custodial model, introducing a layer of centralization.

⚖️ Risk vs Reward

WBTC's risk/reward profile is largely tied to Bitcoin's price volatility, as it aims to mirror BTC's value. The primary additional risks include the custodial model's centralization and potential smart contract vulnerabilities. However, the reward lies in accessing Ethereum's high-growth DeFi landscape, which offers opportunities for lending, yield farming, and collateralization. It is suitable for BTC holders seeking DeFi exposure without directly selling their Bitcoin, but they must acknowledge the added custodial risk.

🚀 Why WBTC-USD Could Soar

  • Continued growth of the broader DeFi ecosystem on Ethereum would increase demand for WBTC as a collateral and liquidity asset.
  • Significant appreciation in Bitcoin's price would directly translate to an increased value for WBTC due to its 1:1 peg.
  • Further adoption by institutional players seeking exposure to DeFi through a regulated and widely accepted wrapped asset could drive demand.
  • Development of new DeFi protocols and innovative use cases specifically leveraging wrapped assets could expand WBTC's utility and market presence.

⚠️ What Could Go Wrong

  • Concerns over WBTC's centralized custodial model could lead to a shift towards more decentralized wrapping solutions like tBTC or sBTC, impacting its market share.
  • A major security breach or hack of the custodians holding the underlying Bitcoin could severely damage trust and de-peg WBTC from Bitcoin.
  • Increased regulatory scrutiny on wrapped assets or stablecoin-like offerings could impose restrictions or operational complexities.
  • A significant downturn in the overall cryptocurrency market, particularly for Bitcoin or Ethereum, would negatively affect WBTC's price and utility.

📱 Social Sentiment

40%
Neutral
Bullish: 35%
Neutral: 40%
Bearish: 25%
Trend: Deteriorating

What's Driving Sentiment

NEUTRAL

Current sentiment around WBTC is largely neutral, influenced by its role as a proxy for Bitcoin on Ethereum's DeFi landscape. While there's consistent recognition of its utility for yield generation and collateral, some recent news, such as an entity converting WBTC to ETH, along with ongoing discussions about its custodial nature, contribute to a cautious outlook.

📊 Influencer & Analyst Highlights

CAUTIOUS BULLISH

Analysts note the potential for WBTC to capitalize on the continued expansion of the DeFi ecosystem, particularly on Ethereum.

Some technical analyses suggest mixed short-term price signals for WBTC, with potential for slight declines or consolidation.

Longer-term price predictions generally anticipate optimistic growth for WBTC, driven by broader DeFi adoption and blockchain interoperability.

Key voices highlight the tight correlation between WBTC's price performance and that of native Bitcoin, making BTC's trajectory a primary driver.

Platform Breakdown

Twitter/X35% weight
40%
35%
25%
Bullish: 40%Neutral: 35%Bearish: 25%
Key Themes
  • Discussions on WBTC's role in the Ethereum DeFi ecosystem, enabling BTC holders to earn yield.
  • Observation of large WBTC transfers, often signaling institutional activity or rebalancing.
  • Price correlation with Bitcoin and its implications for short-term trading strategies.
Reddit25% weight
30%
45%
25%
Bullish: 30%Neutral: 45%Bearish: 25%
Key Themes
  • Debates surrounding the centralization and custodial risks inherent in wrapped tokens like WBTC.
  • Comparisons of WBTC's utility in DeFi versus holding native Bitcoin or alternative layer-1 solutions.
  • Discussions about tax implications of wrapping/unwrapping Bitcoin and engaging in DeFi activities.
Reddit crypto communities can exhibit strong biases for or against specific projects; bearish views on custodial solutions are common.
MooMoo Community10% weight
100%
Bullish: 0%Neutral: 100%Bearish: 0%
Key Themes
  • Data unavailable for specific recent discussions.
  • General market sentiment likely mirroring broader crypto trends.
  • Focus on price movements in relation to Bitcoin.
Specific WBTC sentiment data from MooMoo Community is not readily available in the provided search results, leading to a default neutral assessment.
Seeking Alpha10% weight
100%
Bullish: 0%Neutral: 100%Bearish: 0%
Key Themes
  • Data unavailable for specific recent analyses.
  • Professional analysis generally focuses on Bitcoin's market performance and its impact on wrapped assets.
  • Consideration of macroeconomic factors affecting crypto assets.
Specific WBTC sentiment data from Seeking Alpha is not readily available in the provided search results, leading to a default neutral assessment.

Positive Catalysts

  • Strong Bitcoin price rallies driving increased interest and capital into WBTC.
  • Successful implementation of new DeFi protocols or upgrades on Ethereum that enhance WBTC utility.
  • Partnerships or integrations with major financial institutions or platforms expanding WBTC's reach.
  • Positive regulatory clarity that favors wrapped assets and their integration into traditional finance.

Negative Catalysts

  • Major security exploits or hacks impacting WBTC custodians or associated DeFi protocols.
  • Increased regulatory pressure or enforcement actions against custodial wrapped tokens.
  • Significant outflows of WBTC from DeFi protocols indicating reduced confidence or shifting trends.
  • Emergence of more decentralized and liquid Bitcoin bridging solutions that challenge WBTC's dominance.

🪙 Overview

💡 What It Does

Wrapped Bitcoin (WBTC) is an ERC-20 token that is 1:1 backed by Bitcoin, enabling BTC liquidity to be utilized within the Ethereum decentralized finance (DeFi) ecosystem.

Key Features

  • **ERC-20 Compatibility:** Allows Bitcoin holders to seamlessly interact with Ethereum-based decentralized applications (dApps) and smart contracts.
  • **1:1 Bitcoin Backing:** Each WBTC token is fully backed by an equivalent amount of Bitcoin held in audited reserves, aiming for price parity with BTC.
  • **DeFi Utility:** Facilitates participation in various DeFi activities such as lending, borrowing, yield farming, and decentralized exchanges on Ethereum.
  • **Transparency:** The amount of WBTC in circulation and the proof of its Bitcoin backing are publicly verifiable, promoting trust.
  • **Community-Led DAO:** The WBTC protocol is governed by a Decentralized Autonomous Organization (DAO) composed of multiple stakeholders.

🎯 Why This Matters

WBTC addresses the interoperability challenge between Bitcoin and Ethereum, allowing Bitcoin, the largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, to flow into the vibrant and expansive Ethereum DeFi ecosystem. This significantly enhances liquidity and capital efficiency within DeFi, creating new opportunities for Bitcoin holders to generate yield and engage in financial applications that are not natively available on the Bitcoin blockchain.

🏆 Competitive Advantages

First-Mover and Market Dominance

HIGH

WBTC was one of the first and remains the largest tokenized Bitcoin solution on Ethereum, establishing significant network effects and broad integration across DeFi protocols. This first-mover advantage provides deep liquidity and widespread acceptance.

Robust Custodial Model with Transparency

MEDIUM

While custodial, WBTC's model involves multiple custodians (like BitGo) and a transparent proof-of-reserve mechanism, which is regularly audited. This enhances trust compared to less transparent wrapped solutions.

Deep Integration within Ethereum DeFi

HIGH

WBTC is widely accepted as collateral and a trading pair across numerous leading Ethereum-based DeFi platforms, making it an indispensable asset for many users within that ecosystem.

💰 Tokenomics

📊 Supply Model

WBTC operates on a dynamic supply model, where new tokens are 'minted' when Bitcoin is locked by custodians, and 'burned' when WBTC is redeemed for Bitcoin. This ensures a 1:1 backing, making its supply directly proportional to the amount of Bitcoin wrapped.

Supply Circulation Status

Unlimited supply
Circulating: 125,330
This cryptocurrency has no maximum supply cap.

Dilution Risk

FDV / Market Cap

N/A
Unlimited supply
What this means: Unlimited supply means continuous dilution potential.

📈 Supply & Demand Assessment

Demand for WBTC is primarily driven by the utility it offers in DeFi for Bitcoin holders, acting as a bridge to yield-generating opportunities and collateralized lending. Supply is elastic and directly corresponds to the amount of Bitcoin locked in reserves. Therefore, its supply and demand dynamics are closely linked to overall Bitcoin market trends and Ethereum DeFi adoption.

📊 Analysis

🚀 The Bull Case - Upside to

Unlocking Bitcoin's Potential in DeFi

HIGHlong-term

WBTC provides Bitcoin holders with access to the vast and growing opportunities within the Ethereum DeFi ecosystem. As DeFi continues to innovate and attract more capital, WBTC's role as the primary conduit for Bitcoin liquidity will become increasingly valuable, driving demand.

Bitcoin Price Appreciation Catalyst

HIGHmedium-term

Given its 1:1 peg, any significant bullish movement in Bitcoin's price will directly and positively impact WBTC's valuation. As Bitcoin continues to gain mainstream acceptance and potentially sees new all-time highs, WBTC will mirror these gains.

Ecosystem Integration and Network Effects

MEDIUMmedium-term

WBTC benefits from strong network effects, being deeply integrated into countless DeFi protocols, wallets, and exchanges on Ethereum. This widespread adoption makes it easy to use and provides significant liquidity, making it difficult for new competitors to displace it quickly.

⚠️ The Bear Case - Downside to

Centralization and Custodial Risk

HIGHnear-term

The reliance on centralized custodians to hold the underlying Bitcoin introduces a single point of failure and counterparty risk. A loss of trust in custodians or regulatory pressure on these entities could de-peg WBTC or lead to significant sell-offs.

Emergence of Decentralized Alternatives

MEDIUMmedium-term

The development and increased adoption of truly decentralized Bitcoin bridging solutions (e.g., tBTC, sBTC) could siphon market share from WBTC, as users may prefer more trustless options.

Smart Contract and Protocol Vulnerabilities

MEDIUMnear-term

Despite audits, the smart contracts underlying WBTC's minting/burning process and the DeFi protocols it interacts with are susceptible to bugs or exploits, which could lead to significant financial losses.

🔮 Long-Term Consideration

In the long term, WBTC's success hinges on its ability to maintain its 1:1 peg, ensure the security of its custodial reserves, and continue to serve as the most liquid and integrated solution for bringing Bitcoin into the evolving multi-chain and DeFi landscape. Its value proposition as a bridge to enhanced utility for Bitcoin remains strong, but continuous innovation and risk management are paramount.

Recommended Holding Period: medium-term (1-3 years)

📎 Appendix: Key Metrics

💧 Trading Activity

0.02%

Volume / Market Cap (24h)

Low Activity

What this means:

Low trading volume relative to market cap. Large trades may experience price slippage. Consider splitting large orders.

📊 Volume Trend

24h Volume$235.48M
Current
10-Day Average$276.61M
10D Avg
3-Month Average$319.66M
3M Avg
Interpretation: Current volume is in line with recent averages.

📈 52-Week Price Range

Low: $74,486.36High: $125,777.45
$89,258.69
Current price is at 29% of 52-week range
Position: Mid-range. Price has room to move in either direction.

🏔️ All-Time Price Range

ATL: $3,330.12ATH: $162,188.25
$89,258.69
Current price is at 54% of 52-week range
Volatility Range: 4770%

(ATH is 4770% higher than ATL)

Distance from ATH: -45.9%

📉 Moving Average Analysis

Bearish (Below Both MAs)

50-Day MA

$90,122.13

-1.0%

200-Day MA

$105,461.60

-15.4%

Interpretation: Price is below both moving averages, indicating bearish momentum. This suggests downward pressure.

💰 Historical Returns

PeriodReturn
1 Year+19.8%
All Time (from ATL)+2580.3%
Note: Returns calculated from 52-week low (1Y) and all-time low (All Time) to current price. Source: Yahoo Finance database.
⚠️ Extended Disclaimer & Important Information AI-Generated Content: This research report has been prepared using artificial intelligence technology. While we strive for accuracy and rely on sources believed to be reliable, AI-generated content may contain errors, omissions, or outdated information. Not Investment Advice: This report is provided for informational and educational purposes only. Nothing contained herein constitutes investment advice, a recommendation to buy or sell any security, or financial advice of any kind. Investment Risks: Investing in securities involves substantial risk, including potential loss of principal. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Carefully consider your investment objectives, risk tolerance, and financial circumstances before making decisions. Conduct Your Own Research: You are strongly encouraged to conduct thorough research, perform due diligence, and consult with qualified financial, legal, and tax professionals before making investment decisions. By accessing and using this report, you acknowledge that you have read, understood, and agreed to this disclaimer.